Social complexity and sustainability

نویسنده

  • Joseph A. Tainter
چکیده

Social complexity and sustainability emerge from successful problem solving, rather than directly from environmental conditions. Social complexity develops from problem solving at all scales from local to national and international. Complexity in problem solving is an economic function, and can both support and hinder sustainability. Sustainability outcomes may take decades or centuries to develop. Historical studies reveal three outcomes to longterm change in problem-solving institutions: collapse, resiliency through simplification, or continuity based on growing complexity and increasing energy subsidies. The slow development of complexity in problem solving makes its effects difficult to perceive, especially over short time periods. Long-term social sustainability depends on understanding and controlling complexity. New strategies to mitigate or control complexity are offered. # 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. avai lab le at www.sc iencedi rect .com journal homepage: ht tp : / /www.e lsev ier .com/ locate /ecocom

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تاریخ انتشار 2006